Key levels for visit and reversal

Key levels for visit and reversal [Ichimoku Thread #12 🧵👇]

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1/11 ❓How to know which level on the chart is likely to get visited, and which to hold (reverse for a bounce)? Multiple timeframe analysis is a must but if done in a chaotic way you may get lost in the sea of levels. In this thread I will cover some basic hints about which levels you should look for, and also WHEN they may get visited - because Ichimoku gives a clue also for that.

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2/11 📚First, as a recap, you need to know which are the 11 levels which Ichimoku shows you on each timeframe. ➡️In the past, at Chiko Span: the candle at CS, and all the other four lines. These five levels in the past are the only ones relevant in the present, only because they are exactly 26 candles back - shifted by the most important Kihon Suchi cycle. ➡️In the present, you have the three Han-Ne lines (Kijun Sen, Tenkan Sen, SSB) and SSA. ➡️And in the future, you have SSA and SSB printed on a strict time schedule for when they will be relevant.

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3/11 When you look at multiple timeframes, you see many levels and you need to know which of them are relevant for your idea. 🫴Here are three points to consider related to that: 1⃣ Time horizon. You may look for a confluence between multiple timeframes within the same "tier". Let' say, LTF up to the 2h, MTF from 3h to 12h, and HTF from 12h to the daily timeframes, and very high timeframes where you look for similar levels from the daily up to the weekly timeframe etc... 2⃣ Then, you look for a confluence. The more levels align at different timeframes, the more important is one level - and the more likely it's to hold. If you have a confluence with a Fibonacci level - even better. 3⃣The higher the timeframe - the more important the level is there and the stronger support/resistance it provides. A 15m Kijun Sen may get sliced like a knife through butter pretty often but a weekly Tenkan Sen will offer a very strong support/resistance. Despite the fact that Tenkan Sen is generally weaker level than Kijun Sen.

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4/11 🔥 One extremely useful thing in Ichimoku is that, if you use the math formulas to calculate the future upcoming levels of the Han-Ne lines, you can see an upcoming confluence. Which will tell you both WHEN a level is likely to get visited and to hold. 🫴 For example, Kijun Sen is currently at 100K on the daily timeframe, and Tenkan Sen is at 95K on the tridaily. 👀⌛️But, when you calculate the future level of the tridaily Tenkan Sen in, say, 2 days from now, you see that at this time it will be also 100K, while the daily Kijun Sen will also be 100K. This is a huge clue: not just for a price-based confluence, but for the TIME at which the level may get visited. 🫴 Ichimoku gives you multiple ways to estimate at what time what will be the value of a specific level. 📕 For the past levels at Chiko Span and the future kumo, they are already printed on the chart at specific times. 📗 For the past CS levels you must simply shift 26 candles in the future to get the real time. 📘 For the future values of the Han-Ne lines and SSA at the current price, you can use the math formulas for these lines from the other educational threads. Refer to the following example: You are looking for a price- and time-based confluence for the 3D Kijun Sen: You look at the 2D and see a hint: an upcoming SSA level at a specific time (15th of August candle) which will be almost the same level as the 3D Kijun Sen: And then magically the levels gets hit on a time schedule AND HOLDS because at that time it was a double resistance, i.e. a stronger level:

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5/11 There is also one way to know until where the price may wick beyond a level and you can set buy and sell orders there with a very high precision. This is when two levels are very close to each other (assuming less than 0.5 ATR distance). In this case, if for example you expect the weekly kumo to hold on a close basis, but you see that the bi-weekly kumo is just behind it - you can assume that the price will hit both levels, and just briefly wick to the 2W kumo beyond the 1W kumo: This is a HTF example but you can use the same technique also on lower timeframes. Another hint is when a key Ichimoku level is very close to a Fibonacci level. Then, the price may wick to the Fib level (they normally hold super precise), while closing back within the Ichimoku level.

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6/11 ❓During a trend, how to know which level should hold, and which may not hold? Here come handy the imbalances. As we know, sellers and buyers are in balance on Tenkan Sen short-term and at Kijun Sen mid-term. Tenkan Sen should be visited on average each 9 candles, and Kijun Sen - each 26. During an strong trend, these milestones may get surpassed by a lot, and they to remain unvisited for a scheduled balance for a very long time. ❌⚖️ Exactly because that's what a trend is - IMBALANCE. 🧲 But, you know that after candle #9 and #26 respectively, a magnetic force starts to attract the price to them. So, if you see a level which is ABOVE such levels which are pending for a retrace, it may not hold, because the price may go even deeper to address the pending imbalances below it. Also, if Kijun Sen is both flat and unvisited for more than 26 candles it attracts the price even more. For example, look at the 3D Kijun Sen here: You look at the weekly chart and you see that below it there is a flat Kijun Sen which is pending a visit: So, as the 3D Kijun Sen is above the weekly Kijun Sen, the price may slice through it and go straight for the weekly one. And exactly that happens:

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7/11 📚It's also important to understand the strength of support and resistance the different levels provide. For example, Tenkan Sen will always be a weak level. Kijun Sen will be stronger. SSB in a thick kumo will be even stronger. As we know, a super tiny kumo has very weak support/resistance strength, so in that case both SSA and SSB are weak levels.

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8/11 Something very important to note is that the candle at Chiko Span is an extremely important level. Much more important even than Kijun Sen. The price may lose Kijun Sen and relatively easy recover it if CS is away from the candles. But, if CS goes on the other side of the candles with a gap, it's very hard to recover to the other side and normally it takes a decent amount of time. You will see also occasions when the ultimate rejections happen when the price goes beyond Kijun Sen, but rejects literally at the very last moment from the candle at CS - respecting both the price and time aspect of the candles at it:

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9/11 Last but not least: during a chop, all Ichimoku lines interact with each other. In this case, it's best to ignore all levels within the chop zone and focus on the outer extremes - the top and the bottom of the range:

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10/11 This thread covered how to discover key levels in Ichimoku. If you found it useful feel free to share it so the knowledge can reach more people.

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11/11 Previous lessons 1. The Ichimoku TA system https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1807703250189099208 2. Tenkan Sen https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1810173264020328553 3. Kijun Sen https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1813659904688685089 4. Real and fake TK crosses https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1815295282793390287 5. SSA https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1817833046088843737 6. SSB https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1822907741918175638 7. Kumo https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1827755204713865373 8. Chiko Span https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1830540632428827015 9. Sanyaku Signals https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1834528626513006837 10. Forecast lines https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1938597387024343199 11. Trend and range https://x.com/DoctorCatX/status/1945938009322336349

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